Puffin, Hightail at National Championship 2026 - Norway

Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

17th • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs uno hanssen (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22

Jarl Vetreiði

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Even Kverneland (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ole Elias Bergersen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.12
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.46
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-

Bendik Mihle Hansen

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Hove (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

Fai, Rising Rebellion

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Øyvind Garberg (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57

Pleiades, Superstar

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Egil Sæbøe-Larssen (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.