Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at National Championship 2026 - Norway

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 3-1-0
0%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 3: Win vs Roar Nesheim (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 15% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.