National Championship 2026 - Norway - Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter (CC) - FaB-Results

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

11th • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tov Hanssen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anton Karlsson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Erik Skinstad (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68

Christian Bergesen

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

Valda, Seismic Impact

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Torbjørn Tollaksen (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33

Fai, Rising Rebellion

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bernhard Hinna (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59

Fai, Rising Rebellion

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Øyvind Garberg (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.19
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.