Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gyumin Shim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs TAEWOO KWON (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Wookyung Park (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs TAEHO KWON (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.