FaB-Results

Vynnset, Iron Maiden at National Championship 2026 - Iceland

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Valur Ketilsson
20th • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ísak thomas Birgisson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hugi Hlynsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Puffin, Hightail
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Victor Valenzuela (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
Máni Steinn
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daníel Leó Birgisson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ragnar Daði Sigurðsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hlynur Kristjánsson (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.