Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at National Championship

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Daníel Leó Birgisson

3rd • 4-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.4

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Máni Steinn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Haukur Thor Buason (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Þór Guðnason (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Haukur Thor Buason (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Birgir Hrafn Buason (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.11
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.52
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.40
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Haukur Thor Buason

5th • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Þór Jóhannesson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daníel Leó Birgisson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Snorri Hafthorsson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Daníel Leó Birgisson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.65
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Breki Bragason

9th • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Victor Valenzuela (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fannar Larusson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Birgir Hrafn Buason (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.21
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.