Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at National Championship 2026 - Iceland
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Valur Ketilsson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Svavar Hinriksson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Victor Kristinsson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Birgir Hrafn Buason (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.