Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tadej Krmac (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ervin Bešić (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jan Hrastnik (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Davorin Pokorn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.