Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

2nd 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jure Kaker (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Žan Baumgartner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Dash I/O
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakob Pogačnik Souvent (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jakob Justin (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marko Leben (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36
Dash I/O
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
5th 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Žan Baumgartner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anže Dragan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ervin Bešić (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Dash I/O
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jakob Pogačnik Souvent (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.