Calling: Auckland - Zyggy (Sealed)

Zyggy

15 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Will Evans

16th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.8

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jesse Brake (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ben Clarke (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Caleb Sinclair (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Elliott Nichols (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Arran Beamsley (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.16
R2	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.24
R3	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.09

Darryn Ying

17th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.9

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Wakelin (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Braiden Burne (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sam Payne (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Williams (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Cassandra Hancock (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Conor Armstrong (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Marshall Stevenson (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.16
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.93
R7	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

Michael Collins

11th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Bradley Cain (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Spencer Horton (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ben Kent (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Karel Doorman (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Zak Murray (Zyggy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Fergus Bolton (Unknown)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.37
R4	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.62
R5	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	Sealed	Zyggy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alexander Dobler

31st • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Barlow (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Dennie So (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Marie Watson (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Archer Ying (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Unknown)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.62
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Zak Murray

36th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Samuel Bates (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Shamal Singh (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Elliott Nichols (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Marko Zutic (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Michael Collins (Zyggy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Edward Kim (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Zyggy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Kiki Labad

46th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Qi (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Louis Shum (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Patrick Darge (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Maxwell (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Archer Ying (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Samuel Bates (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Cayle Mccreath

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.9

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Marie Watson (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Arran Beamsley (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Troy Wilson (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Piper Allen (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Raymond Ocdol (Zyggy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Unknown)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.47
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zyggy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Andrei Pirlea

dropped • 3-3-1

29%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ettie Davies (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Lynnette Nattrass (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Freeman Monika (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Dennie So (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Angus Schuler (Zyggy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Conor Armstrong (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.47
R4	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.62
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zyggy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Smithy Sarah

dropped • 3-3-1

86%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Rowan (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Duncan Macdonald (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Phoenix Null (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ettie Davies (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Angus Schuler (Zyggy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Draw	✓	0.55	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.93
R7	Sealed	Zyggy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Henry Moore

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Raymond Ocdol (Zyggy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Vincent Ng (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Taine Markley (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs James Ward (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Ryan McIntyre (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Rob Davenport (Unknown)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zyggy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.31
R3	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Raymond Ocdol

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Henry Moore (Zyggy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Maxwell (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Lachlan Maddaford (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Ian Chu (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Karl Eagle (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Zyggy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Lynnette Nattrass (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zyggy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	Sealed	Zyggy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.09

Angus Schuler

dropped • 2-4-1

57%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Donald Tang (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jaden De-Arth (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Damian Torwick (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Brodie Mickleson (Zyggy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Ettie Davies (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Andrei Pirlea (Zyggy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Smithy Sarah (Zyggy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.31
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zyggy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-
R6	Sealed	Zyggy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zyggy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthew Lester

dropped • 2-3-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Troy Wilson (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Arran Beamsley (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Vincent Ng (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Marie Watson (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.22
R2	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.87
R5	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Brodie Mickleson

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Rob Davenport (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Hunter Mindham (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ben Kent (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Angus Schuler (Zyggy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R3	Sealed	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Zyggy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jess Arnesen

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.