Showdown: Montréal 2026 - Briar (SAGE)

Briar

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Vincent Henault

2nd • 10-1-0

91%

Meta

+4.8

Perf

5.8

Surp

6.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Rich Pauls (Unknown)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Sam Titizian (Unknown)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Serge Lauzon (Unknown)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Fabrice Hénault (Unknown)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jeff Whyte (Unknown)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Eric Lam (Unknown)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Michael Feng (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

20:80

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Mat Himmelman (Oldhim) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

91% (10/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.45
R6	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.73
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.69
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Win	✗	0.82	2.28
R11	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Brodie Spurlock

1st • 9-2-0

73%

Meta

+3.6

Perf

5.5

Surp

4.9

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs brynn nieboer (Unknown)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alex Bart (Unknown)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Unknown)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jeffrey Brasseur (Unknown)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ben Olsen (Unknown)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Michael Feng (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Henault (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Henry Rebellati-Mitnick (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Bobby Bourque (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Henry Rebellati-Mitnick (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Vincent Henault (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

73% (8/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.45
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Lexi	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	Silver Age	Lexi	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.94
R10	Silver Age	Lexi	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.05
R11	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Michael Feng

5th • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Unknown)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Powell (Unknown)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Unknown)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Eric Jones (Unknown)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Eric Lam (Unknown)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Vincent Henault (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Henry Rebellati-Mitnick (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.47
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Lexi	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.