Oldhim at Showdown: Montréal 2026
Oldhim
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 8-2-0
100%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.8
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Young (Unknown)
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Austin Gargiule (Unknown)
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Lam (Unknown)
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Sam Titizian (Unknown)
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs David Sitrick (Unknown)
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Samuel Guibord (Unknown)
R7
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Parthav Patel (Unknown)
R8
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Unknown)
70:30
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Adam Kershaw (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30
Round 10: Loss vs Vincent Henault (Briar) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (10/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Briar | 80% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.