Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
50th • 1-5-0
17%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Sarraf (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Cowan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Spencer Heaps (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Burnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Troy Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.