Jarl Vetreiði at Battle Hardened: Atlanta 2026
Jarl Vetreiði
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None ()
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Durham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 34:66
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Brook (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 75% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.