World Championship: Philadelphia 2025 - Verdance, Thorn of the Rose (LL)

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Robert Szary

51st • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.8

Diff

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Matt Muus (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R9 LL

Round 9: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R10

R10 LL

Round 10: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R11

R11 LL

Round 11: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Jakob Allan

3rd • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

8.0

Diff

Deck

R16

R16 LL

Round 16: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R17

R17 LL

Round 17: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

8.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R16	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	8.00
R17	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Majin Bae

5th • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

R16

R16 LL

Round 16: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R16	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Maximilian Klein

5th • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

R16

R16 LL

Round 16: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R16	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.