Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Wong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs fayyadh Salleh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Danial Azwar (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lim Kok Chien (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Fadhil Majid (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.