Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at National Championship 2025 - Brunei
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jerrard Pang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Loss vs Zul Hakimin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yura Bahar (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Danial Azwar (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.