Arakni, Marionette
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
43rd • 2-3-1
83%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonasemil Schmidt (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Martin Rasmussen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Loss vs Johannes Warming (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Frederik Damholt Hansen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mads Bergenstoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Henrik Kaldahl (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Draw |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.