Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at National Championship

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Edoardo Pinna (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Szots (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.45
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vlad Ciobotea (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Onica Lucian (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Kassai of the Golden Sand

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Traian Costea (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.