
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 2: Loss vs Diogo Vala (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Jud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.