Arakni, Marionette
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrei Meshkov-Pervikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Julien Gremion (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.