Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 2-1-0
0%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mantas Ptakauskas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tomislav Trajkovski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (1.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.