Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Mantas Banevicius

dropped • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maksimas Irician (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Saulius Lukosius (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.19

Einoras Laskis

5th • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mantas Navickas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Albertas pocius (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Edgar Strogonov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Tomislav Trajkovski

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Maksimas Irician (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tomas Liutvinas (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vilhelmas Rudys (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.