Katsu, the Wanderer at National Championship 2025 - Lithuania
Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 2-1-0
33%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rytis Butiskis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Einoras Laskis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (1.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.