Kassai of the Golden Sand at National Championship 2025 - Lithuania
Kassai of the Golden Sand
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Albertas pocius (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mantas Ptakauskas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maksimas Irician (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 75% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.