Calling: Tokyo - Zen (Sealed)

Zen

120 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lee Ming-Han

10th • 8-0-0

100%

Meta

+3.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

4.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Genico Boy (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sam Lau (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs hiroshi kanaya (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs FUKUCHI HAYATE (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.26
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.61
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

haruka sonoda

19th • 8-0-0

100%

Meta

+3.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

4.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Taichi Iwasaki (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sean Stanley (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mark Henderson (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Eli Teed (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Eugene C (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nils Klaper (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.61
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Yoshiki Mizutani

3rd • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs yuta maruo (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 和佳倉田 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Masaki Inoshita (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs yusuke nakamura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs katsuya kawai (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Ryosuke Urase

5th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 稜馬石川 (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mizuki Takei (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Hongkai Guo (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mathieu Pinchon (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Shu Murashima

5th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jia Qi Loh (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs kei furuta (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Pedro Marinho (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Unknown)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mark Johnson (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Rocko Yan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs yohei ohki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.61
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alexander Dobler

11th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Taiki Koike (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Lin Raccoon (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mark Johnson (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Peter Ward (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

FUKUCHI HAYATE

13th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 賢奥田 (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Travis Wong (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Sheng Pu Wang (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs SHO YAMAUCHI (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs kou rui yang (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Thomas Li (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Nick Butcher

17th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Scarlett Yeh (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Andy Pham (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Naochika Machida (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs bill huynh (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Iada Caio (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.61
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

tim Lin

23rd • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Daisuke Hara (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs PH Chung (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Wei liang Xu (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs loki chan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Allen Lau (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Bernardo Cardoso

dropped • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 匠海大澤 (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Dennis Yip (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Eli Teed (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs 翔太八十岡 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Akira Hanada (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Mason Galvan

dropped • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Yuuki Nada (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Chris Brummett (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Gage Gilliam (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Sylvain Poirree (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Takayoshi Iriyama (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Peter Ward (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Eugene C

20th • 6-1-1

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs felipe gomes (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Rocko Yan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs JohnsonCS Tsang (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Sean Yang (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs Malyk Höfle (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs June Sung Kim (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Draw	✓	0.62	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Shing Tsang

12th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Yutaro Sato (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Hemal Patel (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sean Yang (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs ryutaro Doi (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Mathieu Pinchon (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs kou rui yang (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs 毅鍛治 (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Allen Lau

15th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Akira Hanada (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yuhi Kimura (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Masay Toda (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Shohei Marubayashi (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Ward (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs ricky leung (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs tim Lin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs loki chan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.26
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Tariq Patel

18th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Marie Dang (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Sei Inui (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs ryutaro Doi (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs German Glukhov (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Kelvin Law (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

David Rodrigues

26th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs William Yeoh (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Masato Umeki (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 中宅間雄生 (Unknown)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Austin Somers (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kelvin Law (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Chan Lion (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Thomas Li (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

motohiro makigano

28th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Edgar Leroy de Pedro (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Masaya Katou (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs kou rui yang (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Louis Guillot (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jack Tang (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Hongkai Guo (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Eli Teed

29th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.0

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kellen Rosenberger (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs David Wallner (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs yohei ohki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Camden Keener (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Rocko Yan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.09
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

yusuke nakamura

31st • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Cesar Yrick Sevilla (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs ryotaro takashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Brad Adam (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Muhamad Fachrul (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.61
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Yuanji Li

33rd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Motoki Soezima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nova Chan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tetsuhiro Murata (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Steven Young (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Akira Hanada (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Mortal Absolute (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Masaru Sasaki

35th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs masataka shibata (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Vincent Lim (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dev Gordon (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs 翔太八十岡 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Peter Ward (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Dev Gordon

36th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 駿中山 (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Iada Caio (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs hiroshi kanaya (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

katsuya kawai

41st • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Denny Koh (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Atsushi saitoh (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Pudding Tam (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Chan Lion (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs augustine shim (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Li Kwing Lam

42nd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.1

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Yusuke Asama (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Akira Hanada (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs jiasu chen (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs yuta morita (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Hatta Rin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.09
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

TSUNAKI SAWAI

45th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Leon Lu (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs René Schep (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Sei Inui (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Tyler Luce (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

ノブヒサカツバヤシ

46th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.6

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Connor Leverton (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Grace Luckman (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 北斗神原 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Camden Keener (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Shen Mega (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Ognjen Sipraga (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Iada Caio (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.09
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

yuuta nojiri

47th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.9

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs SANG JIN HWANG (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs yuta morita (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs David Tham (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Edward Kim (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Mortal Absolute (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs tim Lin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.09
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Akira Hanada

48th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Allen Lau (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Li Kwing Lam (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs bill huynh (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Yuanji Li (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

尚融李

52nd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 湧己吉岡 (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs sotaro takagishi (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tansei hiroyuki (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Taylor Roorda (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Steven Young (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs JohnsonCS Tsang (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Frank Karamaroudis (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Ward (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Teddy Tai

dropped • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Akimichi Kaga (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 雅貴大場 (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Keith Tan (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Antonis Kazouris (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jerry Mak (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Andy Pham (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs hiroshi kanaya (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.61
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

kazuki kawashima

dropped • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Yusuke Mizuno (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs SHINICHI KITAHARA (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Zachary Ong (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Marei Oshiro (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs 大貴浅海 (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Li (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Peng Joon (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Po Yu Lin (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

yohei ohki

dropped • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Rati Chiewlian (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nova Chan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Eli Teed (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Atsushi saitoh (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Yusuke Asama (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Sean Yang (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Shu Murashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hatta Rin

43rd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Atsushi saitoh (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Joe Cassidy (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Yuji Shimizu (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs 北斗神原 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Niklas Astner (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Li Kwing Lam (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.26
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.61
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

翔太八十岡

49th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 奨己中川 (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Huang Hsiang En (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mathieu Pinchon (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tansei hiroyuki (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Pang Chan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chih Wei Huang

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Ho (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Frank Karamaroudis (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Mia Lockhart (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Taichi Iwasaki (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Daisuke Nakashima

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Phillips (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs bill huynh (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Keiichi Kitajima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Kento Inagaki

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Danial Affendy (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tomoya Ohta (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs hiroshi kanaya (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Pedro Marinho (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Kyoshiro Takegahara

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mark Phillips (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Yip (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs tatsuki ozawa (Unknown)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kidoguchi Hikaru (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lucas Ward

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nick Pearce (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Takuya Sakuragi (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mark David Octavio (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Allen Lau (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs 尚融李 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mortal Absolute

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Vincent Djojo (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Long Dao (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs David Yau (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Pang Chan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs yuta maruo (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.09
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.26
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Shen Mega

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ping How Ng (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Willis Tay (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs 大貴浅海 (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs ノブヒサカツバヤシ (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs yuta maruo (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Shuto Ushiro

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs masataka shibata (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs 雅貴大場 (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs CHIU CHUNG-YI (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs YUKI NISHIMURA (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Brad Adam (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Octavio (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Masaki Inoshita

dropped • 4-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Vinh Luong (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Suzuki Takahiro (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Andy Modell (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Mark David Octavio (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Rindo Masunaga (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs kei kimura (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Keiichi Kitajima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Draw	✓	0.62	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Shuhei Nakamura

dropped • 4-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Saint Hung (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 純一坂本 (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Frank Karamaroudis (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Unknown)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Andy Pham (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Michalis Michael (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs 諒人五嶋 (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

suk kyo suh

dropped • 4-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Emori Kazuyuki (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Pang Chan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Daniel Wallner (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Keith Tan (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Edward Kim (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Danial Affendy

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Shaun Leow (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Wei liang Xu (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Niklas Astner (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Denny Koh (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs 彥勳吳 (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Hao-Han Chuang

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Chun On Anson Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Eric Nguyễn (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 慎示和田 (Unknown)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.09
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.61
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Iada Caio

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kenji Kajiyama (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Dev Gordon (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Louis Jia (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kidoguchi Hikaru (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs ノブヒサカツバヤシ (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Muhamad Fachrul (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Mark Tan

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Shinichi Hayashi (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Po-Chuan Lin (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Lin Raccoon (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs 彥勳吳 (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Keiichi Kitajima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Pang Chan

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs satoru mizoguchi (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Neo Teng Whay (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs suk kyo suh (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Mortal Absolute (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Patrick Cohea (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs 翔太八十岡 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Masato Ishiguro (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Vincent Lim

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs KAWASHIMA TETSUTAKA (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Kidoguchi Hikaru (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Keith Ang (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs YUKI NISHIMURA (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

北斗神原

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kyle Tang (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs ノブヒサカツバヤシ (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs June Sung Kim (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Niklas Astner (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.09
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

ユウトイガラシ

dropped • 3-3-2

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Salvatore Calderone (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Wallner (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Vincent Djojo (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs yuta konomi (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Yutaro Sato (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs kei kimura (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Draw	✓	0.62	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

William Yeoh

dropped • 3-4-1

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

4.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs David Rodrigues (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ben Duggan (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs CHEN POHUA (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Unknown)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs augustine shim (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kim Dang (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Draw	✓	0.62	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Hiroki Goto

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs kouji hamada (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs fujiwara yudai (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs 雅貴大場 (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Sean Stanley (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs 北斗神原 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Shuhei Nakamura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Iannis Patin

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Camden Keener (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Yuji Ito Silva (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs YUKI NISHIMURA (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs kei kimura (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jo Yana (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs yuta morita (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Keiichi Kitajima

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs ゴウオオニシ (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Hiroyuki Kobayashi (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ognjen Sipraga (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Sean Stanley (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Mark Tan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Masaki Inoshita (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

YUKI NISHIMURA

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Guillaume Gérard (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Muhamad Fachrul (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tomohiro Hokota (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Iannis Patin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kent Aldwin Celino (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs John Wardan (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

takahiro nishimura

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs yi chuan lai (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Masay Toda (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs 晃洋福田 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Alex Lo (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs ユウトイガラシ (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Abigail Modell (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Masato Ishiguro

dropped • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs kou rui yang (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Marie Dang (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Shinichi Hayashi (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Chou Wen Hung (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs wooram Oh (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Denny Koh (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Pang Chan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Daniel Ooi

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 黃建福 (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Tansei hiroyuki (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs felipe gomes (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs jou sakamoto (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs PH Chung (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.70
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Takamasa Kamei

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Raniel Valdellon (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs ユウトイガラシ (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ken Sawada (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Connor Leverton (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs yuta maruo (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.30
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.60
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Torpong Juntree

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Huang Hsiang En (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs tim Lin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.60
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yukihiko Ikeda

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs RYO YAMADA (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs yuki ideue (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Andy Pham (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Keiichi Kitajima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs 毅鍛治 (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.40
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Ryan Miles

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mizuki Takei (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 壮平篠原 (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs 恵一長谷川 (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nick Pearce (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs RYO OZAKI (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs sotaro takagishi (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nathan Broadfoot

dropped • 2-4-1

100%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Hiromitsu Okita (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Hải Nguyễn (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs CHEN POHUA (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs carolina alvarado (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs John Wardan (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Draw	✓	0.62	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.50
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Kaoru Kishimoto

dropped • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Bill Early (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Cold Cold Lee (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Liv Hardie Neil (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Unknown)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Taichi Iwasaki (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Takayoshi Iriyama

dropped • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Louis Jia (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs toshiaki tamura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Viet Pham (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.46
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Marie Dang

dropped • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Masato Ishiguro (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs June Sung Kim (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Kelvin Law (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Li (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Austin Somers (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Draw	✓	0.62	-

晃洋福田

dropped • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Michael Andrew Jocson (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Akihiro Takano (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs 石口翔太 (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs SANG JIN HWANG (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Marei Oshiro (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.46
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Tham

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Wei liang Xu (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs 慎示和田 (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 尚規石坂 (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs 諒人五嶋 (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.66
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Eugene Phua

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Abigail Modell (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sho Oguma (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Denny Koh (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs David Yau (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs 石口翔太 (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.12
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.66
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jacob Goessi

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.5

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Antonis Kazouris (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Vinh Luong (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs RYO OZAKI (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Quentin Piguet (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Jacob Johnson

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Marshal Meador (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Li (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Andy Modell (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.16
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.46
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Jo Yana

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ben Duggan (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Sran Thongsory (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs toshiaki tamura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Iannis Patin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.66
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kidoguchi Hikaru

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Cold Cold Lee (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs カイ Chen (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Vincent Lim (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Iada Caio (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mathieu Pinchon

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alejandro Humphreys (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ryo Takemura (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs 翔太八十岡 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Sheng Pu Wang (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mia Lockhart

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kan Yamashita (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Cheah (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Austin Somers (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs yee wan choi (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Chih Wei Huang (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nathaniel Jerald Bea

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Camden Keener (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Chuang TzuChi (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Kelvin Law (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.16
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

PH Chung

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Motoki Soezima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs tim Lin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs YUTO NIIDA (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Ooi (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.46
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Patrick Cohea

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs 広大糀 (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Eiji Otsubo (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kellen Rosenberger (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Taiki Koike (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Pang Chan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs hiroshi kanaya (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ed Chan (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Quentin Piguet (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs toshiaki tamura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rindo Masunaga

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Schutter (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Gary Lee (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Ong (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Masaki Inoshita (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.66
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Shota Deguchi

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Po-Chuan Lin (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 高柳賢一 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs John Wardan (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Willis Tay (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sylvain Poirree

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs jiasu chen (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tetsuhiro Murata (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Ognjen Sipraga (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs augustine shim (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.16
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Tetsuhiro Murata

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Matt Quigley (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Sylvain Poirree (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Keigo Tasugi (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Chuang TzuChi (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Justin Lenihan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

kouji hamada

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ruben Salvador (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Gary Lee (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Chan Lion (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kim Dang (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

和佳倉田

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs tatsuki ozawa (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ping How Ng (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tomoya Ohta

dropped • 2-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Toshitaka Kozawa (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs YOUTAROU MURAMOTO (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Natanael Avellino (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Vincent Djojo (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Draw	✓	0.62	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

taisuke nagai

dropped • 2-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Rio I (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs wendy lau (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Chou Wen Hung (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Li (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Willis Tay (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Po-Chuan Lin (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Atsushi saitoh

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Hatta Rin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs JIMMY NEO (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs katsuya kawai (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs yohei ohki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Yip (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chou Wen Hung

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Eiji Otsubo (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs taisuke nagai (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Masato Ishiguro (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Yutaro Sato (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Louis Jia (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Cold Cold Lee

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kidoguchi Hikaru (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kaoru Kishimoto (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs CHIU CHUNG-YI (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Vincent Djojo (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Mark Phillips (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Wallner

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Po Yu Lin (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Eli Teed (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Hải Nguyễn (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Frank Karamaroudis (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Ping How Ng (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.16
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

RYO OZAKI

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew DAntuono (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs 聡本田 (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Chun On Anson Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Goessi (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs CHEN POHUA (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Miles (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Taiki Bamba

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Soichiro Fujita (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tay Yong Chain (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Iada Caio (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs YUTO NIIDA (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Quentin Piguet

dropped • 1-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs yuta nakamura (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Kent Aldwin Celino (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Goessi (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs kei kimura (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Naochika Machida

dropped • 4-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Faut (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nick Butcher (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

高柳賢一

dropped • 3-1-1

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Nevin Aysar Madian (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Shota Deguchi (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Morris Prem (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Atsushi Taichi (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Gen Shinohara

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Robert McAuley (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs akira saito (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sylvain Poirree (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs PFG Hsieh (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs yusuke nakamura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.39
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

SHINGO OKAZAKI

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kean Onn Lim (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs SANG JIN HWANG (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs 裕介南塚 (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.42
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

SHINICHI KITAHARA

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Chiang ShenLun (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs kazuki kawashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs 大貴浅海 (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Sean Stanley (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.56
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

SHO YAMAUCHI

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ryoko Kitajima (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sei Inui (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Hemal Patel (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs FUKUCHI HAYATE (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Louis Glenn (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.39
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chuang TzuChi

dropped • 2-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Tetsushi Nishida (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 拓弥橋本 (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tetsuhiro Murata (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nova Chan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Akihiro Takano

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Paul Johnson (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 晃洋福田 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Akira Hanada (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Liv Hardie Neil (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chris Bewley

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Gregory Price (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kim Dang (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Wallner (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Po Yu Lin (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.59
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jun Sato

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 慶能大槻 (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kenji Kajiyama (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Neo Teng Whay (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Luce (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kunihiko Date

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 壮平篠原 (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs katsuya kawai (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Malim Deman (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs PH Chung (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Motoki Soezima

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs PH Chung (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Monika Fröhlich (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Zack Man (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Taylor Roorda (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.59
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nicholas Wong

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Teck Yeow Wong (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs yusuke nakamura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs kei furuta (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Denny Koh (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Risa Shioji

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Shohei Marubayashi (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mizuki Takei (Unknown)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Octavio (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Takahiro Motooka

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Qujin Leong (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Andy Modell (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Chih Wei Huang (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs loki chan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.42
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tomohiro Hokota

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs tomohiro tani (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs YUKI NISHIMURA (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Gage Gilliam (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Wei liang Xu

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs David Tham (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 秀和齋藤 (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Edric Ramos (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs tim Lin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Danial Affendy (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

ryotaro takashima

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Shih Kuan-Yu (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs yusuke nakamura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs 吳高睿 (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs sotaro takagishi (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

toshiaki tamura

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Seiichi takahashi (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs yi chuan lai (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Takayoshi Iriyama (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jo Yana (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.28
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

wooram Oh

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Nisthal (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Willis Tay (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sei Inui (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ryota Kitanaka (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Masato Ishiguro (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

カイ Chen

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Sean Stanley (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Vinh Luong (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kidoguchi Hikaru (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs akira saito (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

ゴウオオニシ

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Keiichi Kitajima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Unknown)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

山田丈士

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ryo Takemura (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Seiichi takahashi (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Po-Chuan Lin (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs kohei yamamoto (Unknown)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Sho Oguma (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.