Calling: Tokyo - Enigma (Sealed)

Enigma

67 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michael Feng

2nd • 7-1-0

88%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 瑛横田 (Unknown)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs シンヤカワグチ (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 岡本一馬 (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Eric Lerer (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.15
R3	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.38
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.46
R7	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.54
R8	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Tansei hiroyuki

5th • 7-1-0

62%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs YuDi Chen (Unknown)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Ooi (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 尚融李 (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs 翔太八十岡 (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs JohnsonCS Tsang (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.35
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.52
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.38
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.46
R7	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Nils Klaper

37th • 7-1-0

38%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.1

Diff

65:35

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 諒人五嶋 (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 広大糀 (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Akira Hanada (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Mason Galvan (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.08
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.52
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.69
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.87
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.04
R7	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

David Yau

dropped • 6-1-1

75%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 太一北村 (Unknown)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Eric Lerer (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Mortal Absolute (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs yutaro yamada (Unknown)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Eugene Phua (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Yi Jun Loh (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Louis Guillot (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.15
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.87
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R7	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Oh Oh

1st • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs yutaro higashi (Unknown)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Chris Bewley (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Louis Glenn (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Edward Kim (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Tansei hiroyuki (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.35
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.23
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.38
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.04
R7	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Peter Ward

3rd • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 純一坂本 (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ian Chan (Unknown)

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ruben Salvador (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs kei furuta (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jack Tang (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.23
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.21
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Brodie Spurlock

5th • 6-2-0

50%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Law Wen (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Unknown)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Risa Shioji (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Bryan Kong (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Takayoshi Iriyama (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs motohiro makigano (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.69
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.38
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.04
R7	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.21
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Kaiser Wong

14th • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs sou fujita (Unknown)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs yuta morita (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Unknown)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs カイ Chen (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs David Tham (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Marei Oshiro (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Andy Modell (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.87
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.04
R7	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.54
R8	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong

24th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Jarrell (Unknown)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Gary Lee (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Malyk Höfle (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs ryutaro Doi (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Willis Tay (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.15
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.23
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.46
R7	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R8	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Sean Yang

30th • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 慶能大槻 (Unknown)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Liv Hardie Neil (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Shing Tsang (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Eugene C (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Viet Pham (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs yohei ohki (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.15
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.52
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Viet Pham

54th • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.4

Diff

65:35

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs yutaro yamada (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Eugene Phua (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Takayoshi Iriyama (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Sean Yang (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Eric Lerer (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.08
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.52
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.04
R7	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.54
R8	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ken Kuwahara

dropped • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.2

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Goessi (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs JohnsonCS Tsang (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Lin Raccoon (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs CYK Lionel (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Shu Murashima (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Chih Wei Huang (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.17
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.23
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.38
R6	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.39

augustine shim

dropped • 5-1-2

62%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs rangsiman sriphueak (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Hiroyuki Tanaka (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Dale Low (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs yuki ideue (Unknown)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs William Yeoh (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Sylvain Poirree (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Steven Young (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs katsuya kawai (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.87
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.04
R7	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Malyk Höfle

dropped • 5-2-1

62%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs タカユキアサヒナ (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Leon Lu (Unknown)

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Clinton Ng (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs CYK Lionel (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs Eugene C (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs yusuke nakamura (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.23
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	40%	Draw	✗	0.38	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Mark Johnson

dropped • 5-2-1

50%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Austin Somers (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tariq Patel (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Shu Murashima (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Ruben Salvador (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Iannis Patin (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Justin Cu (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.52
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.21
R8	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

YUTO NIIDA

dropped • 5-2-1

75%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.3

Diff

65:35

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs 石口翔太 (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Ryan Schutter (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Unknown)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs PH Chung (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs 吳高睿 (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs yuta morita (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Steven Young (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.38
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.04
R7	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.54
R8	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Clay DeAngelis

9th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 洋後藤 (Unknown)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kelvin Law (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Li Kwing Lam (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Masato Umeki (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs ノブヒサカツバヤシ (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.15
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.23
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.54
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Bogdan-Andrei Oros

22nd • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 毅鍛治 (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Chih Wei Huang (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Niklas Astner (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Eugene C (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs kou rui yang (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.52
R4	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.46
R7	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Patrick Weiss

55th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Haku Miura (Unknown)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yuanji Li (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Li (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs yuta maruo (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Tansei hiroyuki (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Dev Gordon (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.35
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.23
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.38
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.46
R7	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Florin-Cristian Loghin

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Unknown)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nigel Teo (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Soya Okuda (Unknown)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Sean Yang (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Pang Chan (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.15
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.69
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.39

June Sung Kim

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.7

Diff

65:35

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Peng Joon (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Terukazu Goshima (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Marie Dang (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ian Chan (Unknown)

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs jiasu chen (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs 北斗神原 (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs 石口翔太 (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Eugene C (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.38
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.04
R7	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.54
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Louis Guillot

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Shota Deguchi (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 島田諭史 (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Edward Kim (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Pedro Marinho (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Xavier McLean (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs David Yau (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.17
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.15
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.87
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.46
R7	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.54
R8	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Muhamad Fachrul

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lih Song Tan (Unknown)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs YUKI NISHIMURA (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs René Schep (Unknown)

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs yuta maruo (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Li (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs yusuke nakamura (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Iada Caio (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.35
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.46
R7	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.39

Niklas Astner

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 慶浩金 (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs PFG Hsieh (Unknown)

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Xavier McLean (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Danial Affendy (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs 北斗神原 (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.23
R4	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.04
R7	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.39

bill huynh

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kent Aldwin Celino (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Akira Hanada (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs CYK Lionel (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Justin Cu (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.15
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.52
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.46
R7	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

hiroshi kanaya

dropped • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 洋佑藤田 (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Connor Leverton (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Dev Gordon (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Patrick Cohea (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.04
R7	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.21
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

毅鍛治

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Katsuya Satou (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs yutaro yamada (Unknown)

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs fujiwara yudai (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Clinton Ng (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Yusuke Asama (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.38
R6	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.21
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Justin Cu

dropped • 4-2-2

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Gene King (Unknown)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Matthew Coulson (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Kyle Lantion (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Keith Tan (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Liv Hardie Neil (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs bill huynh (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.23
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.46
R7	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matt Rogers

dropped • 4-2-2

88%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Terukazu Goshima (Unknown)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs kei kimura (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 島田諭史 (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Law Wen (Unknown)

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Chan Lion (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Brad Adam (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs Eric Nguyễn (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs William Yeoh (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.15
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.23
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R7	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.39

John Wardan

dropped • 4-3-1

62%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Steven Young (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Foo (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Shih Kuan-Yu (Unknown)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Shota Deguchi (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Matthew Coulson (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nathan Broadfoot (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs YUKI NISHIMURA (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.21
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.39

Christopher Bryan Dayak

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs 北斗神原 (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ed Chan (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nigel Teo (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Melvin Chew (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs ゴウオオニシ (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Po Yu Lin (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Nick Pearce (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.87
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Steven Young

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs John Wardan (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kevin Ho (Unknown)

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Octavio (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs 尚融李 (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs augustine shim (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs YUTO NIIDA (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.87
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ed Chan

dropped • 3-4-1

88%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs yuta konomi (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Lin Raccoon (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Lo (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs akira saito (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs 彥勳吳 (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Vincent Djojo (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.23
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.46
R7	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

彥勳吳

dropped • 3-4-1

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Sam Lau (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Rati Chiewlian (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 優輝大野 (Unknown)

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Eric Nguyễn (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Mark Tan (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Ed Chan (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Danial Affendy (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Abigail Modell

dropped • 2-2-4

75%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Eugene Phua (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Jeffrey Owens (Unknown)

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Yutaro Sato (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs 黃建福 (Unknown)

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Monika Fröhlich (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs 雅貴大場 (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.38
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Vincent Djojo

dropped • 1-5-2

50%

Meta

-2.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mortal Absolute (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sean Stanley (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs ユウトイガラシ (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Cold Cold Lee (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tomoya Ohta (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs 雅貴大場 (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Ed Chan (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Draw	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R8	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Austin Somers

dropped • 4-2-1

57%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs kei iikubo (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mia Lockhart (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs David Rodrigues (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs SATOSHI NAKATA (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Marie Dang (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alex Lo (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.59
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.44
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Draw	✗	0.38	-
R7	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Andy Pham

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Masay Toda (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Hiroyuki Tanaka (Unknown)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Shuhei Nakamura (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs シンヤカワグチ (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.99
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.53
R7	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Jack Tang

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs FUNG CC (Unknown)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Wallner (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Pudding Tam (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Peter Ward (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs loki chan (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.18
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.26
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.35
R5	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Takumi Watanabe

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

65:35

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yutaro Sato (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs carolina alvarado (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Niklas Astner (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Akira Hanada (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs David Yau (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.18
R3	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.79
R5	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Keith Tan

dropped • 3-1-2

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs kohei yamamoto (Unknown)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Unknown)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Teddy Tai (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Justin Cu (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.92
R5	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Long Dao

dropped • 3-2-1

83%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Unknown)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mortal Absolute (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Melvin Chew (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mark Phillips (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.41
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.51
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Connor Leverton

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs ノブヒサカツバヤシ (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Xiao Wang (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Miles (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs hiroshi kanaya (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tomohiro Hokota (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.69
R4	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.15
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Kai Yang Yuen

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs bill huynh (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs ゴウオオニシ (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mark Tan (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kaoru Kishimoto (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.46
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.69
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.41
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Yusuke Asama

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Li Kwing Lam (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 秋大金谷 (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Shogo Takayama (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs 聡本田 (Unknown)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs yohei ohki (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs 毅鍛治 (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

大貴浅海

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Koki Ishikawa (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Hiromitsu Okita (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs SHINICHI KITAHARA (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Shen Mega (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs kazuki kawashima (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.69
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Chun On Anson Wong

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kenji Kajiyama (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs RYO OZAKI (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Teck Yeow Wong (Unknown)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tomoya Ohta (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Melvin Chew (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.15
R6	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Michalis Michael

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Matteo Layl Madian (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Hilmi Halim (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 翔太郎松本 (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Chiang ShenLun (Unknown)

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Peng Joon (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Shuhei Nakamura (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

SANG JIN HWANG

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs yee wan choi (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs SHINGO OKAZAKI (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs 晃洋福田 (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Masay Toda (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Sean Stanley

dropped • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs カイ Chen (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Vincent Djojo (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs SHINICHI KITAHARA (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Keiichi Kitajima (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.23
R2	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Masay Toda

dropped • 1-5-0

67%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Andy Pham (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Allen Lau (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs fujiwara yudai (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs SANG JIN HWANG (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.21
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kiyoshi Sato

dropped • 3-1-1

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs リョウイチシラカワ (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs masataka shibata (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 航佑柴田 (Unknown)

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.49
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

yi chuan lai

dropped • 3-1-1

60%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Zack Man (Unknown)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs toshiaki tamura (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Ping How Ng (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs C WK (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.83
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Camden Keener

dropped • 3-2-0

20%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Iannis Patin (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Li (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs ノブヒサカツバヤシ (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Eli Teed (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.28
R2	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.55
R3	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Mark David Octavio

dropped • 2-1-2

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

65:35

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Suh Jaeyong (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Natividad Joseph (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs George Chew (Unknown)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Masaki Inoshita (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Draw	✗	0.38	-

Sho Oguma

dropped • 2-2-1

60%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Xiao Wang (Unknown)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Eugene Phua (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Seiichi takahashi (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Po Yu Lin (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs 山田丈士 (Zen) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.39

Daniel Li

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs kei iikubo (Unknown)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tyler Luce (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Camden Keener (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Marie Dang (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Keith Ang

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

65:35

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs felipe gomes (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Teck Yeow Wong (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kingman Leung (Unknown)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Kellen Rosenberger

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Eli Teed (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Cohea (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Shogo Takayama (Unknown)

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Pedro Marinho (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Ken Sawada

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Takahiro Suzuki (Unknown)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nick Pearce (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs loki chan (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Sam Lau

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 彥勳吳 (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Chan Lion (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs 島田諭史 (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.49
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Yuji Shimizu

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs ryo inoue (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Lee (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Takuya Sakuragi (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs シンヤカワグチ (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.49
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

岡本一馬

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs HAKU FAN (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Shoya Narita (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Marei Oshiro (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

CHEN POHUA

dropped • 1-2-2

40%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Takahiro Oto (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 直人酒井 (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs William Yeoh (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Nathan Broadfoot (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs RYO OZAKI (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Draw	✗	0.38	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Draw	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Robin Avenoso

dropped • 1-2-2

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Unknown)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 瑛横田 (Unknown)

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Alex Lo (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs 優衣都島村 (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-

Natanael Avellino

dropped • 1-3-1

60%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.4

Diff

65:35

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 慶浩金 (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Takahiro Motooka (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Tomoya Ohta (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Louis Jia (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	40%	Draw	✗	0.38	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

carolina alvarado

dropped • 1-3-1

80%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs マヤ矢倉 (Unknown)

65:35

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs ryutaro Doi (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs kei kimura (Nuu) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nathan Broadfoot (Zen) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	Sealed	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	65%	Draw	✓	0.65	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.