Puffin

Puffin

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

3rd 1-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
3.5
Diff
Puffin
50:50
R7 Draft
Round 7: Win vs Kiran Lee (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Gravy Bones
50:50
R8 Draft
Round 8: Loss vs Rob Catton (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 48:52
5th 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Puffin
50:50
R7 Draft
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.