Lexi at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Australia

Lexi

Lexi

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

15th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

Verdance

R1

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Valentine Nguyen (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Arakni, Solitary Confinement

R2

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Prism

R3

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Euan Ansell (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Blaze, Firemind

R4

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs James Drummond (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Data Doll MKII

R5

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Louis Shum (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Dorinthea

R6

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Mia Lockhart (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

R1

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Roy Lai (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Verdance

R2

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Ceejay Gordon (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Florian

R3

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Levi Gott (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Zen

R4

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs benji muehlebach (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.