Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

1 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vadim Pilipenko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Puffin, Hightail
!!
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aleksandr Novikov (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Dash I/O
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jana Zussev (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.