Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Otso Somerla (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Olli Saarinen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Win vs Jan Hell (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.