FaB-Results

Fang, Dracai of Blades at National Championship 2025 - Norway

Fang, Dracai of Blades

Fang, Dracai of Blades

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Christopher Reyes
2nd • 5-1-0
33%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.5
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Olstad (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thuong Nguyen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Adrian Fjell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs uno hanssen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Steffen Bergo Jenssen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Lucas Vaz
dropped • 2-1-0
33%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Olstad (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Faraj (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Fai, Rising Rebellion
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Øyvind Garberg (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.