Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

1 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

8th 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Unknown)
Briar, Warden of Thorns
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs José Guimarães (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Pedro Pereira (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 40:60
Briar, Warden of Thorns
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Nuno Paiva (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.