
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
1 players • Match results by round
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8th • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs José Guimarães (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.