
Dromai, Ash Artist
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 2: Loss vs Pedro Pereira (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Pedro Pereira (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.