World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Spain - Cindra (Blitz)

Cindra

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Javier Querol

5th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.4

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Santiago Gullón Escobar (Puffin) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

15:85

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Ramses Tortajada Herrero (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Rafa Guallar (Enigma, New Moon) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Méndez (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Kayo) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

15:85

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Blitz	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Enigma, New Moon	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Kayo	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.13
R7	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Ramses Tortajada Herrero

21st • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs MARC JOSÉ VENTURA (Kayo) - Expected: 40:60

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Enrique Raya (Enigma, New Moon) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Javier Querol (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Salvador Alcaide Milia (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Juan Antonio Sanchez Arbos (Kayo) - Expected: 40:60

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Oscar Nuñez Del Prado (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Blitz	Enigma, New Moon	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Kayo	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Salvador Alcaide Milia

22nd • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Juan Antonio Sanchez Arbos (Kayo) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Luis Gálvez Cavalheiro (Unknown)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Rafa Guallar (Enigma, New Moon) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Ramses Tortajada Herrero (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Antonio López Ibañez (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Santiago Gullón Escobar (Puffin) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.22
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Enigma, New Moon	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.