Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Huang Hsiang En (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 18:82
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ZongRu Wu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 藍 白 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.