Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 3-1-0
25%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Will Rea (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 68:32
Round 2: Win vs Alexandros Modestou (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Lewis Foulkes (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.