Fai, Rising Rebellion at Pro Tour Amsterdam 2024
Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Will Rea (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexandros Modestou (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lewis Foulkes (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
0:100
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 0:100
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 0% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.