Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry at Calling: Amsterdam

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alexis VALENTIN

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mateusz Mazur (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ivan Grimaldo (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Denis Medjic (Unknown)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andreas Ventzel (Unknown)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Floris Kester (Unknown)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mike Knvs (Unknown)

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ísak thomas Birgisson

dropped • 4-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Sebastian Weber (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Robert Wernecke (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gerben de Louw (Unknown)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hugi Hlynsson (Unknown)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Leonard Kaarls (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Unknown)

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Richard Hughes (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.68
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Guillaume MICHEL

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Quinten de Jongh (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Scherer (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Marc Schmid (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mathis Grandemange (Unknown)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mike Pfeiffer (Unknown)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Marc Germond

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tess van Dartel (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs ADRIEN DUFOUR (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Robin Voigt (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Robin Seichais (Unknown)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Erik Steenhart (Unknown)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Lucas Vaz

dropped • 2-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Archer Taylor (Unknown)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Karan Gill (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cyprien Lagalie (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maik Wiesen (Unknown)

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Romain Werlen (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Rob Thoen

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs ADRIEN DUFOUR (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Collin (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Calf (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nick McGrath (Unknown)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Isidoros Popovits (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Pascal Juli

dropped • 0-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Māris Suipe (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Opalski (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christian Johnsen (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.