Calling: Amsterdam - Azalea, Ace in the Hole (CC)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tom Ward

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mikael GARCIA (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jun Pan (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Unknown)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nicolas Papadopoulos (Unknown)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Christian Bach (Unknown)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Damien Pladys (Unknown)

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Anthony Jacob (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Goele Nuyts

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rafael Boog (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Unknown)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Samed Demir (Unknown)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs stef van oort (Unknown)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Unknown)

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Christopher Chalk (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jakub Nowicki

dropped • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan YUSTE (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Morris Prem (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Clément Maillet (Unknown)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marc Germond (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Yael Belder (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.74
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Chris Churchill

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Dailey (Unknown)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Lukavsky (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gaël Dorckel (Unknown)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs stef van oort (Unknown)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daan Edelmann (Unknown)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hilmi Halim

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tom Kruijsen (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Florian Badertsche (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Walter Heidtmann (Unknown)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Van Minsel (Unknown)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Robin Deceuninck

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Denis Medjic (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Friedemann Schorpp (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Miguel (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.