Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paweł Kręcki (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Péter Kökény (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aleksejs Titovs (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.