Riptide at Battle Hardened Antwerp 2023

Riptide

14 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Francesco Giorgio

1st • 7-1-0

25%

Meta

+4.0

Perf

4.6

Surp

5.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Frank CLEMENT (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Martin Bergström (Riptide) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mikko Airaksinen (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mariusz Wojciechowski (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Albert Schütt (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.39
R3	Sealed	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.78
R5	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.97
R6	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.36
R8	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.55

Leonard Kaarls

57th • 4-3-1

50%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs adrien ferlisi (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ville Schalin (Unknown)

35:65

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Artur Dziadosz (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs nino Zimmermann (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Sabrina Wery ()

35:65

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs Adrien Saussey (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jakub Grefling (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.97
R6	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Draw	✗	0.34	-
R8	Sealed	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Vincent PROUM

75th • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.3

Diff

35:65

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel VandenBurg (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Natalia Berger (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Eva Wollny (Unknown)

35:65

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Damien Pladys (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Bertrand Guillot ()

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs David Rotter ()

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Riptide) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.55

Theo Maggs

89th • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

35:65

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Rony MOYAL (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tomasz Pawlak (Riptide) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Yong Jin Jang (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs adrien ferlisi (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: 50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Geoffrey Donneger ()

35:65

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs damien herlin (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jerome Jambert ()

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Sealed	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	Sealed	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.16
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Henri Schlüter

90th • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

35:65

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Philipp Kresse (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Tuck (Unknown)

35:65

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nils Klaper ()

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Giovanni Korsten (Katsu) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Unknown)

35:65

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Simon Tzanakis ()

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Katsu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Rafal Tarnowski

95th • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.8

Diff

35:65

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Niklas Astner (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Quentin Potin (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Lautaro Kadar (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tomasz Pawlak (Riptide) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jani Laatunen (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Frank CLEMENT (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Fasquel (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	Sealed	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.55

Tomasz Pawlak

108th • 1-7-0

62%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

35:65

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Niklas Bengtsson (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Theo Maggs (Riptide) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Therssen Hugo (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Rafal Tarnowski (Riptide) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Alex Cortés (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Bertrand Guillot ()

35:65

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs damien herlin (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Arlerand Ngan (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Sealed	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Johannes Schorpp

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

35:65

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Pilven (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Julien Lacroix ()

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Alexej Frikel (Unknown)

35:65

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Maxime Dumas (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Vincent PROUM (Riptide) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	Sealed	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Sean Knowelden

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Unknown)

35:65

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Damon Elgie (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jim roovers (Unknown)

35:65

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Guido Out (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs damien herlin (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Lewis Day ()

35:65

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Daniel VandenBurg (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.11
R6	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.55

Martin Bergström

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Christoph van Wershofen ()

35:65

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Guido Out (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Riptide) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Robin Meunier (Unknown)

35:65

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.52
R3	Sealed	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.04
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Sergio Sanz Guerrero

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Geoffrey Donneger ()

35:65

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mikael Kullström (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs John Bergström (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: 50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Alexej Frikel (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.52
R3	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	Sealed	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Adrian Frangopol

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Steven De Canck (Unknown)

35:65

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Xiaoliang Yang ()

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Lautaro Kadar (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Grefling (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Chirulescu

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Yegor Borshch ()

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Remco van Gijn (Unknown)

35:65

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Pilven (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Shortall (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs James Adams (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.93
R4	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Fedir Kokhan

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs John Bergström (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Philipp Kresse (Uzuri) - Expected: 34:66

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Yegor Borshch ()

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs (Zamun) Juan Eduardo Corbalan Duzman (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: 50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Peter Stürmer ()

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Uzuri	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.