Briar at Calling: Bangkok 2026

Briar

36 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chanon Puttaree

1st • 13-1-0

36%

Meta

+5.6

Perf

6.5

Surp

6.6

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs yutthaphan mekloy (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Phumin kidlertlam (Dash) - Expected: 80:20

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Witthawat Phanthanitlert (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mark Tay (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Jakob Kernstock (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs CYK Lionel (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Colin Li (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

80:20

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: 78:22

45:55

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Colin Li (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

36% (5/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+5.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 13 actual)

Surprise

6.5 total deviation

Difficulty

6.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Dash	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.05
R3	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.12
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.39
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.60
R8	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R10	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.77
R11	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.85
R12	Silver Age	Rhinar	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.31
R13	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.01
R14	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.08

Jakob Kernstock

5th • 8-3-1

50%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

5.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Sornrath Pitiparnich (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Supakorn Tassanasorn (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs kritsatorn saengweang (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mutthawakul Hoysung (Lexi) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Mark Tay (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kannithi Jitprasopnet (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Nova Chan (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Mikko Pena (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Draw vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Colin Li (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.60
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.55
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.77
R9	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.45
R11	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-
R12	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Hayden Buys

12th • 8-2-1

55%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

5.5

Surp

4.9

Diff

75:25

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Nunthawat Sukseangjalern (Dorinthea) - Expected: 75:25

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Fai) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs HAN DONG HUI (Lexi) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Thanakrit Chanviruch (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Draw vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Arman Mapa (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nutthanin Makemog (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Sarawin Politanont (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Mark Tay (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Tanawat Sukkaew (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Piyarat Boonprasert (Lexi) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

55% (6/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.39
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-
R6	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R7	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.34
R8	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R10	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.09
R11	Silver Age	Lexi	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.45

Torpong Juntree

9th • 8-3-0

36%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

5.6

Surp

4.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Pratt (Unknown)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Anon Guntha (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

20:80

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Rafael Uson (Oldhim) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Rocko Yan (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: 78:22

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Kannithi Jitprasopnet (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Mark Tay (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs CYK Lionel (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

36% (4/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.32
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.84
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Rhinar	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.23
R8	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R10	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.08

Narin Leelaporn

14th • 8-3-0

45%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

5.5

Surp

4.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Thanakrit Chanviruch (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Wisanu Pohom (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs SUMETHA Udomkosonkit (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ryosuke Kono (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Justin Cu (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Mark Tay (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Santat Angsupan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Dominik Däther (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Nova Chan (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs sasawat sirakosol (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

45% (5/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.53
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.64
R9	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R10	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.06
R11	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.20

Kannithi Jitprasopnet

22nd • 7-4-0

27%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

5.6

Surp

3.8

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Peng Joon (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Wachirawit Pipitpuwasrikul (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jakkrapun Hongviengjun (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Tay (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Piyarat Boonprasert (Lexi) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs sasawat sirakosol (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jakob Kernstock (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Apinut Suwansenee (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Bolong Sun (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Clarence Foo (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

27% (3/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.05
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.32
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.66
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.65
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.79
R9	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R11	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.16

Chris Javier Mapalo

28th • 7-4-0

36%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Nigel Teo (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Justin Cu (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jamen Ho (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Clarence Foo (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Tanawat Sukkaew (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Santat Angsupan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Apinut Suwansenee (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Wachirawit Pipitpuwasrikul (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

36% (4/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.06
R3	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.29
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.72
R10	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.99
R11	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.09

Jirawat Jaeykaew

30th • 6-5-0

64%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

4.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tsung-Han Han (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Brodey Plecas (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Dachkone Vasonchuenchochai (Rhinar) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Chakorn Tanawansombat (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Nopphrakorn Kerdsamut (Rhinar) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Aaron Lee (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

80:20

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Sigurður Þormóðsson (Dash) - Expected: 80:20

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Wachirawit Pipitpuwasrikul (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Sornrath Pitiparnich (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

64% (7/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (6.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.13
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.19
R7	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.63
R8	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R9	Silver Age	Dash	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.26
R10	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Manson Hsiau

36th • 6-5-0

45%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

5.4

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Albert Miko Mariano (Unknown)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Lim (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jirawat Jaeykaew (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs sasawat sirakosol (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Bolong Sun (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Wachirawit Pipitpuwasrikul (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Chakorn Tanawansombat (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Aaron Lee (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

45% (5/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R10	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.91
R11	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Chakorn Tanawansombat

44th • 5-5-1

64%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

4.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Naphattarapong Sirithawat (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Arif Karim (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jamen Ho (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jirawat Jaeykaew (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Draw vs Gavin Teo (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

64% (7/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (5.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.05
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.15
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.45
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R10	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-

Dominik Däther

42nd • 5-6-0

45%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

5.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs JIA NIAN WANG (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ingkarat Boonyamanond (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Thanadol Supnitikul (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Sornrath Pitiparnich (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Nova Chan (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Gavin Teo (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Chakorn Tanawansombat (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Thanainan Li (Oldhim) - Expected: 20:80

70:30

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Nutthanin Makemog (Fai) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

Meta Fit

45% (5/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.20
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.54
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.73
R9	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R11	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-

Teoh Juwern

45th • 5-6-0

73%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

4.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Supakorn Tassanasorn (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Yang-Chia Chang (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sornrath Pitiparnich (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Mikko Pena (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Ingkarat Boonyamanond (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Piyarat Boonprasert (Lexi) - Expected: 37:63

20:80

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Thanainan Li (Oldhim) - Expected: 20:80

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Santat Angsupan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 55:45

R11

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

73% (8/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.18
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.20
R5	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R7	Silver Age	Lexi	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R11	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

"Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs kritsatorn saengweang (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs chayut langthong (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Dennis Xiao (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Clarence Foo (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Victor Felix (Fai) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Teoh Juwern (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Dorinthea) - Expected: 75:25

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.42

Achita Sanitpon

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs chayut langthong (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Keith Ma (Florian) - Expected: 65:35

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Mutthawakul Hoysung (Lexi) - Expected: 37:63

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Aukkarapon Kumbai (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Peeratat Gawinthananun (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Anon Guntha (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.18
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.03
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.16

Isaac Lee

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Theo T. (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Witthawat Phanthanitlert (Fai) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Sigurður Þormóðsson (Dash) - Expected: 80:20

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Phongnat Niamsorn (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Dennis Xiao (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kittisak Kongmeesuk (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R3	Silver Age	Dash	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.14
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.62
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.54

Jared Blazich

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.2

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Keith Ma (Florian) - Expected: 65:35

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs sasawat sirakosol (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Naphattarapong Sirithawat (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ryosuke Kono (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Kok Xin Chong (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Saruntawat Boonrod (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.23
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Panuwat Assawinjaipetch

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Supasit Siriwong (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Thanainan Li (Oldhim) - Expected: 20:80

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sarawin Politanont (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Nithis Chaidaroon (Azalea) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Wongsathorn Wongwanichjitt (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Santat Angsupan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Thanakrit Chanviruch (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.62
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.85
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Wisanu Pohom

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Jaidee (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Max Karl Pendrey (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Nova Chan (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Piyarat Boonprasert (Lexi) - Expected: 37:63

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jamen Ho (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.54

Arif Karim

dropped • 3-3-1

86%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.9

Diff

75:25

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Panithan Paramatikul (Dorinthea) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Chakorn Tanawansombat (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Arman Mapa (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Nattapon Phanthanithilerd (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Fai) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Phumin kidlertlam (Dash) - Expected: 80:20

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Draw vs Phongnat Niamsorn (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.06
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R6	Silver Age	Dash	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.28
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-

Peter gil Felix

dropped • 3-3-1

43%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Louis Mook (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Draw vs Supakrit Navamaneethum (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Piyarat Boonprasert (Lexi) - Expected: 37:63

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Dorinthea) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Xiangjun Dai (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Brodey Plecas (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Keith Ma (Florian) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.24
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.63

Kok Xin Chong

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Danupon Phogate (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jaturone Chairungsri (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jared Blazich (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Thitipun Puapongsakorn (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.34
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.09

Kyoshiro Takegahara

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Worrachot Sujiarapat (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Xiangjun Dai (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tanawat Sukkaew (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Thierry Enzo Sirawit Stocchi (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: 65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Arman Mapa (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.69
R6	Silver Age	Florian	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.54
R7	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

SUMETHA Udomkosonkit

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kunlapon Kangkra (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Phongnat Niamsorn (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ingkarat Boonyamanond (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Thanadol Supnitikul (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Thanainan Li (Oldhim) - Expected: 20:80

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Xiangjun Dai (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.31
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.39
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Saruntawat Boonrod

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Lim (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Mutthawakul Hoysung (Lexi) - Expected: 37:63

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Theo T. (Fai) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Hassachai Engchuan (Azalea) - Expected: 47:53

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs JIA NIAN WANG (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jared Blazich (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.62
R5	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.39
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.93
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thanakrit Chanviruch

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Peeratat Gawinthananun (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nattapon Phanthanithilerd (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Buys (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs chayut langthong (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Thitipun Puapongsakorn (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Panuwat Assawinjaipetch (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.94
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tsung-Han Han

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jirawat Jaeykaew (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Arman Mapa (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nuttapon Songkhakul (Chane) - Expected: 59:41

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Sigurður Þormóðsson (Dash) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Chuwong Wongchu (Oldhim) - Expected: 20:80

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Waroth Liengvithayakun (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Chane	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Dash	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R7	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Weerapat Tosup

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Gavin Teo (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Rujiwat Chalapirom (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Theo T. (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Panithan Paramatikul (Dorinthea) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Tanawat Sukkaew (Oscilio) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.36
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.35
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Miti Vichyastit

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Worrachot Sujiarapat (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Aumnad Pondechawut (Lexi) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Peeratat Gawinthananun (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 51:49

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Pasit Subongkod (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Peng Joon (Fai) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-

Tawich Paparsamut

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Nithis Chaidaroon (Azalea) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Peng Joon (Fai) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Fai) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Waroth Liengvithayakun (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Nattapon Phanthanithilerd

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jakkrapun Hongviengjun (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Thanakrit Chanviruch (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Arif Karim (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Keith Ma (Florian) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Florian	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.63

Worrachot Sujiarapat

dropped • 0-5-0

80%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Miti Vichyastit (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Thierry Enzo Sirawit Stocchi (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Nuttapon Songkhakul (Chane) - Expected: 59:41

20:80

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Chuwong Wongchu (Oldhim) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Chane	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Wiroon Juesathainrat

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Thitipun Puapongsakorn (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Tay (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Lee (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Apinut Suwansenee (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

kritsatorn saengweang

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Thierry Enzo Sirawit Stocchi (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jakob Kernstock (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Supakorn Tassanasorn (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Louie Poblete

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Dromai) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Peeratat Gawinthananun (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Danupon Phogate (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Louis Mook

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Peter gil Felix (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Apinut Suwansenee (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.73
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Supasit Siriwong

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Panuwat Assawinjaipetch (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Pasit Subongkod (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.