Sunday Showdown: Shinjuku 2026 — Meta Fitness
Japan
SAGE
106
7 rounds + Top Cut
Expected win rates if each hero faced a random opponent from this tournament's field. Weighted by actual hero representation.
Rolling Window Analysis
Meta Period:
Omens of the Third Age Release Season
Total Matches Analyzed:
3459
Analysis Window:
May 11, 2026 - Aug 7, 2026
Window Duration:
88 days (includes 25 buffer days)
Analysis includes 25 buffer days before meta start for statistical confidence. "Insufficient data" means <60% of hero's matchups have ≥10 matches each.
31 heroes • 104 players • Based on meta expectations
| Hero | Positioning | Expected Win Rate | vs Baseline | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oscilio | Excellent | 61.9% | +11.9% | |
Players using Oscilio in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Oldhim | Excellent | 58.1% | +8.1% | |
Players using Oldhim in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Bravo, Flattering Showman | Excellent | 56.4% | +6.4% | |
Players using Bravo, Flattering Showman in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Briar | Good | 53.9% | +3.9% | |
Players using Briar in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Kayo, Strong-arm 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 53.6% | +3.6% | |
Players using Kayo, Strong-arm in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Enigma | Good | 53.4% | +3.4% | |
Players using Enigma in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Fai | Good | 52.8% | +2.8% | |
Players using Fai in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Lexi 49% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 52.1% | +2.1% | |
Players using Lexi in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Dromai | Good | 52.1% | +2.1% | |
Players using Dromai in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Arakni, Web of Deceit 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 51.9% | +1.9% | |
Players using Arakni, Web of Deceit in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Olympia 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 48.9% | -1.1% | |
Players using Olympia in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Iyslander | Neutral | 48.6% | -1.4% | |
Players using Iyslander in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Azalea 16% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 47.7% | -2.3% | |
Players using Azalea in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Blaze, Firemind | Poor | 46.4% | -3.6% | |
Players using Blaze, Firemind in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Kassai 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 46.1% | -3.9% | |
Players using Kassai in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Valda Brightaxe 32% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 45.4% | -4.6% | |
Players using Valda Brightaxe in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Cindra 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 43.5% | -6.5% | |
Players using Cindra in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Vynnset 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 43.3% | -6.7% | |
Players using Vynnset in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Chane 16% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 42.8% | -7.2% | |
Players using Chane in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Florian 39% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 42.2% | -7.8% | |
Players using Florian in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Katsu 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 41.3% | -8.7% | |
Players using Katsu in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Kassai, Cintari Sellsword 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 41.1% | -8.9% | |
Players using Kassai, Cintari Sellsword in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Aurora 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 39.7% | -10.3% | |
Players using Aurora in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Gravy Bones 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 39.2% | -10.8% | |
Players using Gravy Bones in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Dash 42% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 38.4% | -11.6% | |
Players using Dash in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Riptide 16% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 36.7% | -13.3% | |
Players using Riptide in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Nuu 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 36.3% | -13.7% | |
Players using Nuu in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Dorinthea 30% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 35.8% | -14.2% | |
Players using Dorinthea in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Zen 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 35.4% | -14.6% | |
Players using Zen in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Lyath Goldmane 16% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 22.7% | -27.3% | |
Players using Lyath Goldmane in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Boltyn 16% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 22.2% | -27.8% | |
Players using Boltyn in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
Tournament Meta Summary
9
Well-Positioned Heroes
3
Neutral Heroes
19
Poorly-Positioned Heroes
44.8%
Average Expected WR
Meta Analysis: Highly diverse meta (9.1%)