Valda, Seismic Impact at National Championship 2026 - Greece
Valda, Seismic Impact
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
29th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antonis Autzalanidis (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alkis Sejati (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 91:9
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andreas Ritzakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs konstantinos konstantinidis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.