Expected win rates if each hero faced a random opponent from this tournament's field. Weighted by actual hero representation.

Rolling Window Analysis

27 heroes • 116 players • Based on meta expectations
HeroPositioningExpected Win Ratevs BaselineDetails
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
Excellent
57.1%
+7.1%
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
Excellent
55.9%
+5.9%
Arakni, Huntsman
Arakni, Huntsman
Excellent
55.5%
+5.5%
Dorinthea Ironsong
Dorinthea Ironsong
Good
54.1%
+4.1%
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
Good
53.8%
+3.8%
Jarl Vetreiði
Jarl Vetreiði
Neutral
51.5%
+1.5%
Arakni, Marionette
Arakni, Marionette
Neutral
51.3%
+1.3%
Dash I/O
Dash I/O
Neutral
51.0%
+1.0%
Kassai of the Golden Sand
Kassai of the Golden Sand
Neutral
50.2%
+0.2%
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
Neutral
49.8%
-0.2%
Fai, Rising Rebellion
Fai, Rising Rebellion
Neutral
48.6%
-1.4%
Fang, Dracai of Blades
Fang, Dracai of Blades
Poor
47.8%
-2.2%
Valda, Seismic Impact
Valda, Seismic Impact
Poor
47.6%
-2.4%
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
Poor
46.1%
-3.9%
Katsu, the Wanderer
Katsu, the Wanderer
Poor
46.1%
-3.9%
Betsy, Skin in the Game
Betsy, Skin in the Game
59% coverage (need ≥60%)
Insufficient Data
45.9%
-4.1%
Puffin, Hightail
Puffin, Hightail
Poor
45.7%
-4.3%
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
Poor
45.0%
-5.0%
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
Very Poor
42.9%
-7.1%
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
20% coverage (need ≥60%)
Insufficient Data
42.8%
-7.2%
Zyggy Starlight
Zyggy Starlight
Very Poor
42.7%
-7.3%
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
47% coverage (need ≥60%)
Insufficient Data
42.0%
-8.0%
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
42% coverage (need ≥60%)
Insufficient Data
40.3%
-9.7%
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
Very Poor
40.1%
-9.9%
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
Very Poor
39.4%
-10.6%
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
Very Poor
39.4%
-10.6%
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
Very Poor
31.4%
-18.6%

Tournament Meta Summary

5
Well-Positioned Heroes
6
Neutral Heroes
16
Poorly-Positioned Heroes
46.8%
Average Expected WR
Meta Analysis: Moderately diverse meta (6.0%)