Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at National Championship 2026 - Lithuania
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ugnius Švedas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ignas Kibirkštis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oleg Zabalujev (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Albertas pocius (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tomas Liutvinas (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.