Katsu, the Wanderer at National Championship 2026 - Lithuania
Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maksimas Irician (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Rokas Pocius (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ignas Kibirkštis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrius Pečiulis (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.