Aurora, Emissary of Lightning
24 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
9.6
Diff
50:50
R9 Draft
Round 9: Win vs John Kitsos (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
Round 12: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs André Kofmel (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R15 Draft
Round 15: Win vs Thomas Van Minsel (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R16 Draft
Round 16: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
9.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R16 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
5th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
8.6
Diff
R9
R9 Draft
Round 9: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Unknown)
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Rok Havlas (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Win vs Oliver Spapens (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R13 Draft
Round 13: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Loss vs Thomas Van Minsel (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R15 Draft
Round 15: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
8.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
9th • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
8.8
Diff
50:50
R9 Draft
Round 9: Win vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 Draft
Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Van Minsel (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 Draft
Round 13: Win vs Rok Havlas (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Win vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
8.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Win |
17th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
8.3
Diff
Round 9: Win vs Gabe Sher (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 10: Win vs Ugnius Švedas (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Callum Young (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R12 Draft
Round 12: Win vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R14 Draft
Round 14: Loss vs Piotr Chudobinski (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
8.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
27th • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
8.2
Diff
Round 9: Win vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R10
R10 Draft
Round 10: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Unknown)
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R12 Draft
Round 12: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Win vs Callum Young (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
8.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
35th • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
9.1
Diff
50:50
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R11
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 12: Win vs Kai "Käpt'n" Schmidt (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R13 Draft
Round 13: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Win vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
9.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
41st • 3-2-1
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
6.2
Diff
50:50
R9 Draft
Round 9: Win vs Warre Sevens (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
R11
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Andrea Malpassi (Unknown)
Round 12: Win vs Emilis Dirmeikis (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Draw vs Giulio Monaco (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Draw |
42nd • 3-2-1
83%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
5.4
Diff
50:50
R9 Draft
Round 9: Win vs Teo Matuška (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Benedikt Scharf (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R12 Draft
Round 12: Win vs Ian Holland (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Draw vs Ville Teräväinen (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Draw |
20th • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
5.9
Diff
50:50
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Win vs Luke Gilmore (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 Draft
Round 11: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R12 Draft
Round 12: Win vs Adam Urban (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 Draft
Round 13: Win vs Richard Carr (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Loss vs Marc Lanigra (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
25th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
6.2
Diff
Round 9: Win vs Adam Tuček (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Win vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R12 Draft
Round 12: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
26th • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
5.8
Diff
50:50
R9 Draft
Round 9: Win vs Michael Neugebauer (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs Rok Havlas (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R12 Draft
Round 12: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
51st • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
5.7
Diff
50:50
R9 Draft
Round 9: Win vs Tomasz Zalejski (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
R11
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Robert Szary (Unknown)
40:60
R12 Draft
Round 12: Loss vs Tobias Hartfiel (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
R14
R14 Draft
Round 14: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Unknown)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
53rd • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
6.8
Diff
50:50
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 10: Win vs Michał Zalejski (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 Draft
Round 12: Win vs Benedikt Scharf (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Win vs Warre Sevens (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
6.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
54th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
7.0
Diff
50:50
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Win vs John Kitsos (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 Draft
Round 11: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R12 Draft
Round 12: Win vs Piotr Stelmach (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Win vs Gabe Sher (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
7.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Win |
37th • 2-3-1
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.5
Diff
40:60
R9 Draft
Round 9: Draw vs Joakim Gustafsson (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
R10
R10 Draft
Round 10: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Unknown)
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R12 Draft
Round 12: Loss vs Piotr Chudobinski (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Loss vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Draw |
| R10 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
48th • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
4.1
Diff
40:60
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Win vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 Draft
Round 12: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Adam Urban (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
52nd • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
4.3
Diff
40:60
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs André Kofmel (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Loss vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
R12
R12 Draft
Round 12: Win vs Andrea Malpassi (Unknown)
40:60
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Win vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
59th • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
4.1
Diff
R9
R9 Draft
Round 9: Win vs Henri Schlüter (Unknown)
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs Callum Young (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
Round 11: Win vs Ugnius Švedas (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R12 Draft
Round 12: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R14 Draft
Round 14: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
61st • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
4.2
Diff
40:60
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
Round 10: Win vs Kai "Käpt'n" Schmidt (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Teo Matuška (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R12 Draft
Round 12: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Ugnius Švedas (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
63rd • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
4.5
Diff
50:50
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
R10
R10 Draft
Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R11 Draft
Round 11: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
Round 12: Win vs Gabe Sher (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Kai "Käpt'n" Schmidt (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
67th • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
4.0
Diff
40:60
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Win vs Elaine Cao (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R11
R11 Draft
Round 11: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Unknown)
R12
R12 Draft
Round 12: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Unknown)
50:50
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
R14
R14 Draft
Round 14: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
69th • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
R10
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Unknown)
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R12 Draft
Round 12: Loss vs Jyry Soinio (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 Draft
Round 13: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R14 Draft
Round 14: Loss vs Kai "Käpt'n" Schmidt (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
71st • 1-5-0
83%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Loss vs John Kitsos (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 Draft
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Neugebauer (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
R13
R13 Draft
Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R14 Draft
Round 14: Loss vs Tomasz Zalejski (Zyggy) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Zyggy | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Richard Carr (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs Jyry Soinio (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Rain Ööpik (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R9 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.