Expected win rates if each hero faced a random opponent from this tournament's field. Weighted by actual hero representation.

Rolling Window Analysis

25 heroes • 105 players • Based on meta expectations
HeroPositioningExpected Win Ratevs BaselineDetails
Oldhim
Oldhim
Excellent
60.7%
+10.7%
Kassai, Cintari Sellsword
Kassai, Cintari Sellsword
38% coverage (need ≥60%)
Insufficient Data
57.3%
+7.3%
Briar
Briar
Excellent
56.5%
+6.5%
Ira, Crimson Haze
Ira, Crimson Haze
Excellent
55.8%
+5.8%
Terra
Terra
Good
54.4%
+4.4%
Vynnset
Vynnset
Good
53.5%
+3.5%
Valda Brightaxe
Valda Brightaxe
Good
52.6%
+2.6%
Dorinthea
Dorinthea
Good
52.5%
+2.5%
Kayo
Kayo
Good
52.1%
+2.1%
Bravo, Flattering Showman
Bravo, Flattering Showman
Good
52.0%
+2.0%
Aurora
Aurora
12% coverage (need ≥60%)
Insufficient Data
49.7%
-0.3%
Iyslander
Iyslander
Neutral
48.9%
-1.1%
Fai
Fai
Poor
47.9%
-2.1%
Kano
Kano
Poor
47.2%
-2.8%
Florian
Florian
Poor
46.4%
-3.6%
Levia
Levia
47% coverage (need ≥60%)
Insufficient Data
45.6%
-4.4%
Rhinar
Rhinar
Very Poor
44.7%
-5.3%
Enigma
Enigma
Very Poor
43.8%
-6.2%
Dash
Dash
Very Poor
41.6%
-8.4%
Arakni, Solitary Confinement
Arakni, Solitary Confinement
0% coverage (need ≥60%)
Insufficient Data
40.7%
-9.3%
Dromai
Dromai
Very Poor
39.1%
-10.9%
Arakni, Web of Deceit
Arakni, Web of Deceit
44% coverage (need ≥60%)
Insufficient Data
38.9%
-11.1%
Azalea
Azalea
60% coverage (need ≥60%)
Insufficient Data
33.3%
-16.7%
Nuu
Nuu
57% coverage (need ≥60%)
Insufficient Data
28.5%
-21.5%
Scurv, Stowaway
Scurv, Stowaway
0% coverage (need ≥60%)
Insufficient Data
17.2%
-32.8%

Tournament Meta Summary

10
Well-Positioned Heroes
2
Neutral Heroes
13
Poorly-Positioned Heroes
46.4%
Average Expected WR
Meta Analysis: Highly diverse meta (9.6%)