Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
4.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Khai Yung Cheah (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Warren Nicholas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chua Swee Chuan (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Tay (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Hieu Tran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.